Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 17.190533 19.999499 23.070996 26.671940 30.770628 35.283185 40.619991
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 12.423828 16.220623 20.805584 26.716036 34.095532 42.964420 54.385291
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 9.444430 13.531297 18.872546 26.288228 36.228007 48.989346 66.493275
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 7.359193 11.422057 17.102194 25.495505 37.425953 53.590656 76.919246
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 6.081391 10.125107 16.119708 25.464483 39.425043 59.213311 89.001054
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 5.170520 9.175158 15.433706 25.666174 41.638006 65.185808 101.948960
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 4.100388 7.761180 13.793966 24.135781 40.989705 66.809538 108.566112
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 3.679678 7.354594 13.685756 24.974051 44.034198 74.161110 124.293215
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 3.410201 7.163709 13.896424 26.333017 48.007520 83.229861 143.333829
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 2.893647 6.418296 13.023522 25.698468 48.548391 86.789503 153.799630
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 2.387243 5.598609 11.891094 24.439281 47.839866 88.164739 160.703866
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 2.270324 5.558406 12.225220 25.914602 52.104879 98.238964 182.869839
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.190061 5.607076 12.784456 27.971690 57.796138 111.515724 212.032101
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.929404 5.210230 12.396114 28.148181 60.039629 118.988270 231.841582
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.657340 4.730047 11.756600 27.725622 61.071817 124.338246 248.268401
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.399176 4.226035 10.980094 26.899003 61.185738 127.946408 261.724280
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.231477 3.917851 10.597545 26.867458 62.896593 134.691175 281.482986
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.100431 3.679674 10.341288 27.079315 65.123869 142.589513 303.970240
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.895267 3.180450 9.359383 25.473152 63.251639 142.164700 310.223650
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.833476 3.095054 9.417225 26.353015 66.950432 153.309194 340.124450
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.799461 3.089484 9.684781 27.779096 72.014700 167.634099 377.344262
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.688434 2.805941 9.150377 27.113255 72.174436 171.639834 393.719852
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.571332 2.468855 8.404434 25.791735 70.633903 171.855872 402.198289